How it finished
Bristol City beat Portsmouth 2–1. Bawler's model had Bristol City in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Bristol City had 9 shots (3 on target) to Portsmouth's 14 (1), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 0.6 to 1.4, so Portsmouth created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Bristol City vs Portsmouth?
Bristol City beat Portsmouth 2–1. Bawler's model had Bristol City in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Bristol City had 9 shots (3 on target) to Portsmouth's 14 (1), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 0.6 to 1.4, so Portsmouth created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Bristol City vs Portsmouth?
Bristol City 2–1 Portsmouth, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bristol City 40%, the draw 28% and Portsmouth 32%.
What were the stats in Bristol City vs Portsmouth?
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.4, Shots 9–14, Shots on target 3–1, Shots inside box 6–8, Big chances 3–1, Corners 3–10, Saves 0–1, Fouls 15–6, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 3–0.
Did both teams score in Bristol City vs Portsmouth?
Yes — both Bristol City and Portsmouth scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Bristol City vs Portsmouth right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bristol City or draw 68%, it finished Bristol City won (40% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 73%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.