Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake prediction — MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 02:30 UK

MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 02:30 UK
Colorado Rapids 46Draw 25Real Salt Lake 29
Our call before kickoff
71%
Colorado Rapids or draw
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
80%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
62%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
61%

How it finished

Colorado Rapids beat Real Salt Lake 1–0. Bawler's model had Colorado Rapids in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Colorado Rapids had 14 shots (4 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 4 (0), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 0.1.

Colorado…Full-time statsReal Salt…
64%Possession36%
1.2Expected goals (xG)0.1
14Shots4
4Shots on target0
10Shots inside box1
2Big chances0
7Corners1
0Saves3
13Fouls21
1Offsides2
3Yellow cards5
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callColorado Rapids or draw 71%Colorado Rapids won (46% called)
Total goals3.11
Both teams to score62%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 82%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Colorado RapidsReal Salt Lake
1.8
Goals+0.4
1.4
15.7
Shots+4.0
11.6
4.3
On target+1.1
5.4
5.0
Corners+0.5
4.4
Colorado RapidsReal Salt Lake
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.6
7.0
Shots+1.8
5.1
1.9
On target+0.4
2.3
2.3
Corners+0.2
2.1
Colorado RapidsReal Salt Lake
1.3
Goals+0.5
0.8
8.7
Shots+2.2
6.5
2.4
On target+0.7
3.1
2.6
Corners+0.3
2.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Colorado Rapids to score83%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Real Salt Lake to score75%
Under 3.5 goals61%

First half — what we expected

Colorado Rapids
49%
to score before half-time
Real Salt Lake
61%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%

Colorado RapidsReal Salt Lake
7.01st-half shots5.1
1.91st-half shots on target2.3
2.31st-half corners2.1

First-half chances

63%Chance of 6+ shots40%
39%Chance of 8+ shots19%
81%Chance of 1+ shots on target86%
30%Chance of 3+ shots on target39%
86%Chance of 1+ corners83%
40%Chance of 3+ corners34%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Colorado Rapids7.08.7
Shots · Real Salt Lake5.16.5
Shots on target · Colorado Rapids1.92.4
Shots on target · Real Salt Lake2.33.1
Corners · Colorado Rapids2.32.6
Corners · Real Salt Lake2.12.4
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Colorado Rapids 2 · Draws 0 · Real Salt Lake 3
Real Salt Lake in their league tableLower half

Head to head

May 2026Real Salt Lake 2–1 Colorado Rapids
Oct 2025Real Salt Lake 1–0 Colorado Rapids
May 2025Colorado Rapids 1–0 Real Salt Lake
Jul 2024Colorado Rapids 3–2 Real Salt Lake
May 2024Real Salt Lake 5–3 Colorado Rapids
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake?

Colorado Rapids beat Real Salt Lake 1–0. Bawler's model had Colorado Rapids in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Colorado Rapids had 14 shots (4 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 4 (0), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 0.1.

What was the final score in Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake?

Colorado Rapids 1–0 Real Salt Lake, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Colorado Rapids 46%, the draw 25% and Real Salt Lake 29%.

What were the stats in Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake?

Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–0.1, Shots 14–4, Shots on target 4–0, Shots inside box 10–1, Big chances 2–0, Corners 7–1, Saves 0–3, Fouls 13–21, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 3–5.

Did both teams score in Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake?

No. It finished 1–0, so Real Salt Lake failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Colorado Rapids or draw 71%, it finished Colorado Rapids won (46% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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