Colorado Rapids beat Real Salt Lake 1–0. Bawler's model had Colorado Rapids in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Colorado Rapids had 14 shots (4 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 4 (0), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 0.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Colorado Rapids beat Real Salt Lake 1–0. Bawler's model had Colorado Rapids in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Colorado Rapids had 14 shots (4 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 4 (0), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 0.1.
Colorado Rapids 1–0 Real Salt Lake, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Colorado Rapids 46%, the draw 25% and Real Salt Lake 29%.
Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–0.1, Shots 14–4, Shots on target 4–0, Shots inside box 10–1, Big chances 2–0, Corners 7–1, Saves 0–3, Fouls 13–21, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 3–5.
No. It finished 1–0, so Real Salt Lake failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Colorado Rapids or draw 71%, it finished Colorado Rapids won (46% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Missed.