How it finished
New England Revolution beat Columbus Crew 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Columbus Crew at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave New England Revolution 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Columbus Crew had 7 shots (1 on target) to New England Revolution's 21 (11), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 81%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution?
New England Revolution beat Columbus Crew 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Columbus Crew at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave New England Revolution 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Columbus Crew had 7 shots (1 on target) to New England Revolution's 21 (11), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 1.4.
What was the final score in Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution?
Columbus Crew 1–3 New England Revolution, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Columbus Crew 50%, the draw 25% and New England Revolution 25%.
What were the stats in Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution?
Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–1.4, Shots 7–21, Shots on target 1–11, Shots inside box 5–12, Big chances 0–1, Corners 5–5, Saves 8–0, Fouls 10–7, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution?
Yes — both Columbus Crew and New England Revolution scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Columbus Crew or draw 75%, it finished New England Revolution won (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Landed.