How it finished
FC Dallas beat Sporting Kansas City 4–3. Bawler's model had FC Dallas in front at 68% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 7. FC Dallas had 15 shots (10 on target) to Sporting Kansas City's 26 (10), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 2.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 83%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City?
FC Dallas beat Sporting Kansas City 4–3. Bawler's model had FC Dallas in front at 68% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 7. FC Dallas had 15 shots (10 on target) to Sporting Kansas City's 26 (10), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 2.7.
What was the final score in FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City?
FC Dallas 4–3 Sporting Kansas City, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Dallas 68%, the draw 19% and Sporting Kansas City 13%.
What were the stats in FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City?
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 2.7–2.7, Shots 15–26, Shots on target 10–10, Shots inside box 11–15, Big chances 4–4, Corners 3–7, Saves 7–5, Fouls 8–10, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City?
Yes — both FC Dallas and Sporting Kansas City scored, finishing 4–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Dallas to win 68%, it finished FC Dallas won (68% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes.