How it finished
Houston Dynamo FC and San Jose Earthquakes drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Houston Dynamo FC at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.2 goals; nobody scored. Houston Dynamo FC had 11 shots (0 on target) to San Jose Earthquakes' 11 (4), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Houston Dynamo FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Houston Dynamo FC and San Jose Earthquakes drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Houston Dynamo FC at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.2 goals; nobody scored. Houston Dynamo FC had 11 shots (0 on target) to San Jose Earthquakes' 11 (4), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.2.
What was the final score in Houston Dynamo FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Houston Dynamo FC 0–0 San Jose Earthquakes, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Houston Dynamo FC 42%, the draw 25% and San Jose Earthquakes 33%.
What were the stats in Houston Dynamo FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.2, Shots 11–11, Shots on target 0–4, Shots inside box 6–6, Big chances 1–2, Corners 7–4, Saves 4–0, Fouls 8–9, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Houston Dynamo FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
No. It finished 0–0, so Houston Dynamo FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Houston Dynamo FC vs San Jose Earthquakes right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Houston Dynamo FC or draw 67%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Missed.