Inter Miami CF vs CF Montréal prediction — MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 00:30 UK
Inter Miami CF 64Draw 19CF Montréal 17
Our call before kickoff
64%
Inter Miami CF to win
Landed
3.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 7–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
83%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
65%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
72%

How it finished

Inter Miami CF beat CF Montréal 7–1. Bawler's model had Inter Miami CF in front at 64% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; the match produced 8. Inter Miami CF had 20 shots (11 on target) to CF Montréal's 10 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 3.0 to 0.9.

Inter MiamiFull-time statsCF Montréal
57%Possession43%
3.0Expected goals (xG)0.9
20Shots10
11Shots on target5
13Shots inside box8
7Big chances1
6Corners6
3Saves5
10Fouls11
0Offsides0
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callInter Miami CF to win 64%Inter Miami CF won (64% called)
Total goals3.78
Both teams to score65%Yes
Second pickOver 3.5 goals 51%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Inter Miami CFCF Montréal
2.5
Goals+1.3
1.2
15.0
Shots+1.8
13.2
6.5
On target+0.3
6.1
5.6
Corners
5.6
Inter Miami CFCF Montréal
0.7
Goals+0.3
0.4
7.1
Shots+1.6
5.5
3.2
On target+0.6
2.5
2.6
Corners
2.6
Inter Miami CFCF Montréal
1.8
Goals+0.9
0.8
7.9
Shots+0.2
7.7
3.3
On target+0.3
3.6
2.9
Corners
3.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Inter Miami CF to score92%
Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
CF Montréal to score71%

First half — what we expected

Inter Miami CF
72%
to score before half-time
CF Montréal
40%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 83%

Inter Miami CFCF Montréal
7.11st-half shots5.5
3.21st-half shots on target2.5
2.61st-half corners2.6

First-half chances

65%Chance of 6+ shots45%
41%Chance of 8+ shots23%
78%Chance of 2+ shots on target68%
38%Chance of 4+ shots on target26%
68%Chance of 2+ corners68%
28%Chance of 4+ corners28%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Inter Miami CF7.17.9
Shots · CF Montréal5.57.7
Shots on target · Inter Miami CF3.23.3
Shots on target · CF Montréal2.53.6
Corners · Inter Miami CF2.62.9
Corners · CF Montréal2.63.0
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Inter Miami CF 4 · Draws 0 · CF Montréal 1
CF Montréal in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Jul 2026CF Montreal 0–1 Inter Miami CF
Jul 2025CF Montreal 1–4 Inter Miami CF
May 2025Inter Miami CF 4–2 CF Montreal
May 2024CF Montreal 2–3 Inter Miami CF
Mar 2024Inter Miami CF 2–3 CF Montreal
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Inter Miami CF vs CF Montréal?

Inter Miami CF beat CF Montréal 7–1. Bawler's model had Inter Miami CF in front at 64% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; the match produced 8. Inter Miami CF had 20 shots (11 on target) to CF Montréal's 10 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 3.0 to 0.9.

What was the final score in Inter Miami CF vs CF Montréal?

Inter Miami CF 7–1 CF Montréal, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Inter Miami CF 64%, the draw 19% and CF Montréal 17%.

What were the stats in Inter Miami CF vs CF Montréal?

Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 3.0–0.9, Shots 20–10, Shots on target 11–5, Shots inside box 13–8, Big chances 7–1, Corners 6–6, Saves 3–5, Fouls 10–11, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Inter Miami CF vs CF Montréal?

Yes — both Inter Miami CF and CF Montréal scored, finishing 7–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Inter Miami CF vs CF Montréal right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Inter Miami CF to win 64%, it finished Inter Miami CF won (64% called); Total goals — we said 3.7, it finished 8; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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