Inter Miami CF beat CF Montréal 7–1. Bawler's model had Inter Miami CF in front at 64% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; the match produced 8. Inter Miami CF had 20 shots (11 on target) to CF Montréal's 10 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 3.0 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 83%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Inter Miami CF beat CF Montréal 7–1. Bawler's model had Inter Miami CF in front at 64% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; the match produced 8. Inter Miami CF had 20 shots (11 on target) to CF Montréal's 10 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 3.0 to 0.9.
Inter Miami CF 7–1 CF Montréal, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Inter Miami CF 64%, the draw 19% and CF Montréal 17%.
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 3.0–0.9, Shots 20–10, Shots on target 11–5, Shots inside box 13–8, Big chances 7–1, Corners 6–6, Saves 3–5, Fouls 10–11, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 1–2.
Yes — both Inter Miami CF and CF Montréal scored, finishing 7–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Inter Miami CF to win 64%, it finished Inter Miami CF won (64% called); Total goals — we said 3.7, it finished 8; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.