How it finished
Middlesbrough and Millwall drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Middlesbrough at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Middlesbrough had 22 shots (7 on target) to Millwall's 11 (4), with 80% of the ball against 20%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Middlesbrough vs Millwall?
Middlesbrough and Millwall drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Middlesbrough at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Middlesbrough had 22 shots (7 on target) to Millwall's 11 (4), with 80% of the ball against 20%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.5.
What was the final score in Middlesbrough vs Millwall?
Middlesbrough 2–2 Millwall, played on 15 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Middlesbrough 50%, the draw 26% and Millwall 24%.
What were the stats in Middlesbrough vs Millwall?
Full-time: Possession 80%–20%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.5, Shots 22–11, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 12–11, Big chances 2–3, Corners 14–1, Saves 2–5, Fouls 3–12, Offsides 4–3, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Middlesbrough vs Millwall?
Yes — both Middlesbrough and Millwall scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Middlesbrough vs Millwall right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Middlesbrough or draw 76%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.