How it finished
Portsmouth beat Cardiff City 2–0. Bawler's model had Portsmouth in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Portsmouth had 14 shots (5 on target) to Cardiff City's 17 (5), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Portsmouth vs Cardiff City?
Portsmouth beat Cardiff City 2–0. Bawler's model had Portsmouth in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Portsmouth had 14 shots (5 on target) to Cardiff City's 17 (5), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.2.
What was the final score in Portsmouth vs Cardiff City?
Portsmouth 2–0 Cardiff City, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Portsmouth 46%, the draw 27% and Cardiff City 27%.
What were the stats in Portsmouth vs Cardiff City?
Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.2, Shots 14–17, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 11–12, Big chances 3–1, Corners 5–7, Saves 5–3, Fouls 15–12, Offsides 5–2, Yellow cards 0–4.
Did both teams score in Portsmouth vs Cardiff City?
No. It finished 2–0, so Cardiff City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Portsmouth vs Cardiff City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Portsmouth or draw 73%, it finished Portsmouth won (46% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No.