Queens Park Rangers vs Cardiff City prediction — Championship · Wed 2 Sept · 19:45 UK

Championship · Wed 2 Sept · 19:45 UK
Queens Park Rangers 48Draw 26Cardiff City 26
Our call before kickoff
74%
Queens Park Rangers or draw
Landed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
71%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
54%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
52%

How it finished

Queens Park Rangers beat Cardiff City 2–1. Bawler's model had Queens Park Rangers in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Queens Park Rangers had 20 shots (4 on target) to Cardiff City's 9 (3), with 37% of the ball against 64%.

Queens Park…Full-time statsCardiff City
37%Possession64%
20Shots9
4Shots on target3
3Corners4
2Saves2
10Fouls12
2Offsides0
0Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callQueens Park Rangers or draw 74%Queens Park Rangers won (48% called)
Total goals2.83
Both teams to score54%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 76%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 52%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Queens Park RangersCardiff City
1.6
Goals+0.5
1.1
15.9
Shots+3.5
12.4
5.7
On target+1.4
4.3
5.9
Corners+0.4
5.5
Queens Park RangersCardiff City
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
7.4
Shots+1.7
5.7
2.8
On target+0.8
2.0
2.8
Corners+0.2
2.6
Queens Park RangersCardiff City
1.1
Goals+0.4
0.7
8.6
Shots+1.8
6.8
2.9
On target+0.5
2.4
3.1
Corners+0.2
2.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Queens Park Rangers to score80%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals70%
Cardiff City to score68%

First half — what we expected

Queens Park Rangers
52%
to score before half-time
Cardiff City
39%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%

Queens Park RangersCardiff City
7.41st-half shots5.7
2.81st-half shots on target2.0
2.81st-half corners2.6

First-half chances

68%Chance of 6+ shots47%
44%Chance of 8+ shots25%
73%Chance of 2+ shots on target55%
31%Chance of 4+ shots on target16%
71%Chance of 2+ corners68%
30%Chance of 4+ corners27%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Queens Park Rangers7.48.6
Shots · Cardiff City5.76.8
Shots on target · Queens Park Rangers2.82.9
Shots on target · Cardiff City2.02.4
Corners · Queens Park Rangers2.83.1
Corners · Cardiff City2.62.9
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.5 / match
Cardiff City in their league tableBottom quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Queens Park Rangers vs Cardiff City?

Queens Park Rangers beat Cardiff City 2–1. Bawler's model had Queens Park Rangers in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Queens Park Rangers had 20 shots (4 on target) to Cardiff City's 9 (3), with 37% of the ball against 64%.

What was the final score in Queens Park Rangers vs Cardiff City?

Queens Park Rangers 2–1 Cardiff City, played on 02 Sept 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Queens Park Rangers 48%, the draw 26% and Cardiff City 26%.

What were the stats in Queens Park Rangers vs Cardiff City?

Full-time: Possession 37%–64%, Shots 20–9, Shots on target 4–3, Corners 3–4, Saves 2–2, Fouls 10–12, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 0–2.

Did both teams score in Queens Park Rangers vs Cardiff City?

Yes — both Queens Park Rangers and Cardiff City scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Queens Park Rangers vs Cardiff City right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Queens Park Rangers or draw 74%, it finished Queens Park Rangers won (48% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Queens Park Rangers form →Cardiff City form →