Queens Park Rangers beat Cardiff City 2–1. Bawler's model had Queens Park Rangers in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Queens Park Rangers had 20 shots (4 on target) to Cardiff City's 9 (3), with 37% of the ball against 64%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Queens Park Rangers beat Cardiff City 2–1. Bawler's model had Queens Park Rangers in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Queens Park Rangers had 20 shots (4 on target) to Cardiff City's 9 (3), with 37% of the ball against 64%.
Queens Park Rangers 2–1 Cardiff City, played on 02 Sept 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Queens Park Rangers 48%, the draw 26% and Cardiff City 26%.
Full-time: Possession 37%–64%, Shots 20–9, Shots on target 4–3, Corners 3–4, Saves 2–2, Fouls 10–12, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 0–2.
Yes — both Queens Park Rangers and Cardiff City scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Queens Park Rangers or draw 74%, it finished Queens Park Rangers won (48% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Landed.