How it finished
Southampton beat Millwall 5–1. Bawler's model had Southampton in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 6. Southampton had 21 shots (7 on target) to Millwall's 14 (5), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 3.2 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Southampton vs Millwall?
Southampton beat Millwall 5–1. Bawler's model had Southampton in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 6. Southampton had 21 shots (7 on target) to Millwall's 14 (5), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 3.2 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Southampton vs Millwall?
Southampton 5–1 Millwall, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Southampton 49%, the draw 25% and Millwall 26%.
What were the stats in Southampton vs Millwall?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 3.2–1.1, Shots 21–14, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 16–11, Big chances 5–1, Corners 8–11, Saves 4–2, Fouls 6–10, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Southampton vs Millwall?
Yes — both Southampton and Millwall scored, finishing 5–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Southampton vs Millwall right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Southampton or draw 74%, it finished Southampton won (49% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.