Vancouver Whitecaps beat Sporting Kansas City 3–0. Bawler's model had Vancouver Whitecaps in front at 72% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3. Sporting Kansas City had 8 shots (0 on target) to Vancouver Whitecaps' 16 (6), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 2.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Vancouver Whitecaps beat Sporting Kansas City 3–0. Bawler's model had Vancouver Whitecaps in front at 72% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3. Sporting Kansas City had 8 shots (0 on target) to Vancouver Whitecaps' 16 (6), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 2.6.
Sporting Kansas City 0–3 Vancouver Whitecaps, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sporting Kansas City 11%, the draw 17% and Vancouver Whitecaps 72%.
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–2.6, Shots 8–16, Shots on target 0–6, Shots inside box 5–14, Big chances 0–4, Corners 1–4, Saves 3–0, Fouls 15–20, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 2–2.
No. It finished 0–3, so Sporting Kansas City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Vancouver Whitecaps to win 72%, it finished Vancouver Whitecaps won (72% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No.