Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction — MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 01:30 UK

MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 01:30 UK
Sporting Kansas City 11Draw 17Vancouver Whitecaps 72
Our call before kickoff
72%
Vancouver Whitecaps to win
Landed
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–3
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
77%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
56%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
67%

How it finished

Vancouver Whitecaps beat Sporting Kansas City 3–0. Bawler's model had Vancouver Whitecaps in front at 72% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3. Sporting Kansas City had 8 shots (0 on target) to Vancouver Whitecaps' 16 (6), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 2.6.

Sporting…Full-time statsVancouver…
44%Possession56%
0.4Expected goals (xG)2.6
8Shots16
0Shots on target6
5Shots inside box14
0Big chances4
1Corners4
3Saves0
15Fouls20
1Offsides0
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callVancouver Whitecaps to win 72%Vancouver Whitecaps won (72% called)
Total goals3.53
Both teams to score56%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Sporting Kansas CityVancouver Whitecaps
0.9
Goals+1.6
2.5
7.2
Shots+10.7
17.9
2.4
On target+6.8
9.2
2.6
Corners+4.7
7.4
Sporting Kansas CityVancouver Whitecaps
0.3
Goals+0.4
0.7
3.2
Shots+5.0
8.2
1.0
On target+2.9
3.9
1.2
Corners+2.2
3.5
Sporting Kansas CityVancouver Whitecaps
0.6
Goals+1.2
1.9
4.0
Shots+5.7
9.7
1.4
On target+3.9
5.3
1.4
Corners+2.5
3.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Vancouver Whitecaps to score92%
Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Sporting Kansas City to score60%

First half — what we expected

Sporting Kansas City
28%
to score before half-time
Vancouver Whitecaps
68%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%

Sporting Kansas CityVancouver Whitecaps
3.21st-half shots8.2
1.01st-half shots on target3.9
1.21st-half corners3.5

First-half chances

<10%Chance of 7+ shots65%
<10%Chance of 9+ shots43%
11%Chance of 3+ shots on target71%
<10%Chance of 5+ shots on target36%
34%Chance of 2+ corners81%
<10%Chance of 4+ corners44%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Sporting Kansas City3.24.0
Shots · Vancouver Whitecaps8.29.7
Shots on target · Sporting Kansas City1.01.4
Shots on target · Vancouver Whitecaps3.95.3
Corners · Sporting Kansas City1.21.4
Corners · Vancouver Whitecaps3.53.9
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-1.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Sporting Kansas City 0 · Draws 0 · Vancouver Whitecaps 5
Vancouver Whitecaps in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Apr 2026Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 Sporting Kansas City
Sept 2025Sporting Kansas City 0–2 Vancouver Whitecaps
Jul 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 Sporting Kansas City
Jul 2024Vancouver Whitecaps 2–1 Sporting Kansas City
May 2024Sporting Kansas City 1–2 Vancouver Whitecaps
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Vancouver Whitecaps beat Sporting Kansas City 3–0. Bawler's model had Vancouver Whitecaps in front at 72% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3. Sporting Kansas City had 8 shots (0 on target) to Vancouver Whitecaps' 16 (6), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 2.6.

What was the final score in Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Sporting Kansas City 0–3 Vancouver Whitecaps, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sporting Kansas City 11%, the draw 17% and Vancouver Whitecaps 72%.

What were the stats in Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–2.6, Shots 8–16, Shots on target 0–6, Shots inside box 5–14, Big chances 0–4, Corners 1–4, Saves 3–0, Fouls 15–20, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

No. It finished 0–3, so Sporting Kansas City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Vancouver Whitecaps to win 72%, it finished Vancouver Whitecaps won (72% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

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