How it finished
Stoke City beat Norwich City 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Norwich City at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Stoke City 33%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Stoke City had 6 shots (3 on target) to Norwich City's 15 (6), with 28% of the ball against 72%. On expected goals it was 0.2 to 1.3, so Norwich City created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Stoke City vs Norwich City?
Stoke City beat Norwich City 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Norwich City at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Stoke City 33%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Stoke City had 6 shots (3 on target) to Norwich City's 15 (6), with 28% of the ball against 72%. On expected goals it was 0.2 to 1.3, so Norwich City created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Stoke City vs Norwich City?
Stoke City 1–0 Norwich City, played on 01 Sept 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Stoke City 33%, the draw 27% and Norwich City 40%.
What were the stats in Stoke City vs Norwich City?
Full-time: Possession 28%–72%, Expected goals (xG) 0.2–1.3, Shots 6–15, Shots on target 3–6, Shots inside box 4–6, Big chances 1–3, Corners 3–5, Saves 5–2, Fouls 16–10, Offsides 7–4, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Stoke City vs Norwich City?
No. It finished 1–0, so Norwich City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Stoke City vs Norwich City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Norwich City or draw 67%, it finished Stoke City won (33% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.