St. Louis CITY SC beat Vancouver Whitecaps 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Vancouver Whitecaps at 65% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave St. Louis CITY SC 15%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Vancouver Whitecaps had 15 shots (3 on target) to St. Louis CITY SC's 11 (6), with 47% of the ball against 53%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 82%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
St. Louis CITY SC beat Vancouver Whitecaps 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Vancouver Whitecaps at 65% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave St. Louis CITY SC 15%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Vancouver Whitecaps had 15 shots (3 on target) to St. Louis CITY SC's 11 (6), with 47% of the ball against 53%.
Vancouver Whitecaps 1–3 St. Louis CITY SC, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Vancouver Whitecaps 65%, the draw 20% and St. Louis CITY SC 15%.
Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Shots 15–11, Shots on target 3–6, Corners 6–2, Saves 3–2, Fouls 18–18, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 4–3.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Vancouver Whitecaps to win 65%, it finished St. Louis CITY SC won (15% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 4.