How it finished
Charlotte FC beat Atlanta United FC 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Atlanta United FC at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Charlotte FC 37%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Atlanta United FC had 18 shots (3 on target) to Charlotte FC's 13 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte FC?
Charlotte FC beat Atlanta United FC 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Atlanta United FC at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Charlotte FC 37%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Atlanta United FC had 18 shots (3 on target) to Charlotte FC's 13 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.6.
What was the final score in Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte FC?
Atlanta United FC 0–2 Charlotte FC, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Atlanta United FC 37%, the draw 26% and Charlotte FC 37%.
What were the stats in Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte FC?
Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.6, Shots 18–13, Shots on target 3–5, Shots inside box 6–10, Big chances 0–4, Corners 11–7, Saves 3–3, Fouls 8–5, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte FC?
No. It finished 0–2, so Atlanta United FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Atlanta United FC or draw 63%, it finished Charlotte FC won (37% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.