Charlotte FC and Houston Dynamo FC drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Charlotte FC at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. Charlotte FC had 9 shots (3 on target) to Houston Dynamo FC's 18 (5), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Charlotte FC and Houston Dynamo FC drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Charlotte FC at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. Charlotte FC had 9 shots (3 on target) to Houston Dynamo FC's 18 (5), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 0.9.
Charlotte FC 0–0 Houston Dynamo FC, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Charlotte FC 46%, the draw 26% and Houston Dynamo FC 28%.
Full-time: Possession 34%–66%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–0.9, Shots 9–18, Shots on target 3–5, Shots inside box 6–11, Big chances 1–1, Corners 8–6, Saves 5–3, Fouls 13–9, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 5–4, Red cards 1–0.
No. It finished 0–0, so Charlotte FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Charlotte FC or draw 72%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Missed.