How it finished
Charlton Athletic beat Preston North End 1–0. Bawler's model had Charlton Athletic in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Charlton Athletic had 15 shots (2 on target) to Preston North End's 12 (1), with 57% of the ball against 43%. On expected goals it was 0.9 to 0.9, so Preston North End created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Charlton Athletic vs Preston North End?
Charlton Athletic beat Preston North End 1–0. Bawler's model had Charlton Athletic in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Charlton Athletic had 15 shots (2 on target) to Preston North End's 12 (1), with 57% of the ball against 43%. On expected goals it was 0.9 to 0.9, so Preston North End created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Charlton Athletic vs Preston North End?
Charlton Athletic 1–0 Preston North End, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Charlton Athletic 41%, the draw 28% and Preston North End 31%.
What were the stats in Charlton Athletic vs Preston North End?
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–0.9, Shots 15–12, Shots on target 2–1, Shots inside box 4–5, Big chances 0–1, Corners 7–4, Saves 1–1, Fouls 10–21, Offsides 6–0, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Charlton Athletic vs Preston North End?
No. It finished 1–0, so Preston North End failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Charlton Athletic vs Preston North End right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Charlton Athletic or draw 69%, it finished Charlton Athletic won (41% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.