Juventus beat Atalanta 2–0. Bawler's model had Juventus in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Juventus had 14 shots (5 on target) to Atalanta's 11 (2), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 64%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Juventus beat Atalanta 2–0. Bawler's model had Juventus in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Juventus had 14 shots (5 on target) to Atalanta's 11 (2), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.6.
Juventus 2–0 Atalanta, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Juventus 54%, the draw 24% and Atalanta 21%.
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.6, Shots 14–11, Shots on target 5–2, Shots inside box 10–7, Big chances 4–0, Corners 4–5, Saves 1–3, Fouls 10–10, Offsides 4–0, Yellow cards 1–2.
No. It finished 2–0, so Atalanta failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Juventus or draw 79%, it finished Juventus won (54% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No.