How it finished
Lincoln City and Southampton drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Southampton at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Lincoln City had 19 shots (5 on target) to Southampton's 16 (4), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Lincoln City vs Southampton?
Lincoln City and Southampton drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Southampton at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Lincoln City had 19 shots (5 on target) to Southampton's 16 (4), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.8.
What was the final score in Lincoln City vs Southampton?
Lincoln City 1–1 Southampton, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lincoln City 32%, the draw 26% and Southampton 42%.
What were the stats in Lincoln City vs Southampton?
Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–0.8, Shots 19–16, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 16–7, Big chances 3–0, Corners 4–6, Saves 2–4, Fouls 14–10, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 3–0.
Did both teams score in Lincoln City vs Southampton?
Yes — both Lincoln City and Southampton scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Lincoln City vs Southampton right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Southampton or draw 68%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed.