How it finished
Stoke City beat Charlton Athletic 4–0. Bawler's model had Stoke City in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. Stoke City had 17 shots (8 on target) to Charlton Athletic's 13 (3), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 65%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Stoke City vs Charlton Athletic?
Stoke City beat Charlton Athletic 4–0. Bawler's model had Stoke City in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. Stoke City had 17 shots (8 on target) to Charlton Athletic's 13 (3), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.6.
What was the final score in Stoke City vs Charlton Athletic?
Stoke City 4–0 Charlton Athletic, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Stoke City 41%, the draw 29% and Charlton Athletic 30%.
What were the stats in Stoke City vs Charlton Athletic?
Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–0.6, Shots 17–13, Shots on target 8–3, Shots inside box 11–10, Big chances 2–0, Corners 5–3, Saves 3–4, Fouls 20–13, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 1–4, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Stoke City vs Charlton Athletic?
No. It finished 4–0, so Charlton Athletic failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Stoke City vs Charlton Athletic right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Stoke City or draw 70%, it finished Stoke City won (41% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 71%, it finished Landed.