How it finished
Wolverhampton Wanderers beat Stoke City 4–1. Bawler's model had Wolverhampton Wanderers in front at 62% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 5. Wolverhampton Wanderers had 18 shots (8 on target) to Stoke City's 10 (3), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Stoke City?
Wolverhampton Wanderers beat Stoke City 4–1. Bawler's model had Wolverhampton Wanderers in front at 62% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 5. Wolverhampton Wanderers had 18 shots (8 on target) to Stoke City's 10 (3), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 0.9.
What was the final score in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Stoke City?
Wolverhampton Wanderers 4–1 Stoke City, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Wolverhampton Wanderers 62%, the draw 23% and Stoke City 15%.
What were the stats in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Stoke City?
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 2.6–0.9, Shots 18–10, Shots on target 8–3, Shots inside box 13–6, Big chances 6–1, Corners 7–1, Saves 2–4, Fouls 13–15, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 1–4.
Did both teams score in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Stoke City?
Yes — both Wolverhampton Wanderers and Stoke City scored, finishing 4–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 47% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Stoke City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Wolverhampton Wanderers to win 62%, it finished Wolverhampton Wanderers won (62% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 47%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 50%, it finished Landed.